UFC 264 Betting Preview McGregor vs. Poirier 3: Odds, Preview and Where to Watch Big Bout in PA

Written By Nathan Frederick on July 1, 2021 - Last Updated on January 25, 2022
UFC 264. betting preview.

Fans can hardly wait. Connor McGregor, arguably the UFC’s biggest name, is fighting Dustin Poirier for the third time at UFC 264 on Saturday, July 10.

The series is tied 1-1. And the odds at DraftKings PA Sportsbook are nearly even, suggesting an epic showdown in a matchup that both fighters desperately hope to win.

Odds for UFC 264 McGregor vs. Poirer

PA sports betting apps are offering a variety of betting markets for UFC 264. Here are the odds and markets on DraftKings for McGregor vs. Poirier.


  • Poirier (-108)/McGregor (-113)

Total rounds

  • Over 1.5 (-162)
  • Under 1.5 (+120)
  • Over 2.5 (+125)
  • Under 2.5 (-167)
  • Over 3.5 (+200)
  • Under 3.5 (-278)
  • Over 4.5 (+200)
  • Under 4.5 (-360)

Winning method

  • McGregor – KO, TKO, or DQ (+140
  • Poirier– KO, TKO, or DQ (+175)
  • Poirier by decision (+550)
  • McGregor by decision (+700)
  • Poirier by submission (+700)
  • McGregor by submission (+2000)
  • Tie (+6600)

To go the distance

  • Yes (+275)/No (-400)

Fight to end in the first 60 seconds of Round 1

  • Yes (+900)

Winning round market also available

McGregor vs. Poirier 3 preview

In their first bout in 2014, McGregor scored a first-round TKO against Poirier that ended with some controversy.

McGregor’s biggest punch landed on the back of Poirier’s skull and MMA rules prohibit strikes to the back of the head. However, the referee believed Poirier stepped into the strike, so McGregor’s victory was allowed to stand.

In their rematch at UFC 257 in January, McGregor entered the fight around -300 on the moneyline. But Poirier unleashed a flurry of punches in the second round to win by TKO. As noted in The Guardian, it was the first time McGregor (22-5) had been knocked out in his entire MMA career.

Now, fans are anxiously awaiting the deciding match. The UFC released the trilogy fight’s poster via a tweet in May. And this week, the fight preview video arrived, which incorporated highlights of both fighters interspersed with Teddy Roosevelt’s famous “Man in the Arena” speech.

It has the effect of stirring fans into a fervor, manufacturing even more excitement for the upcoming fight.

The featured match is perhaps the most anticipated fight of the year, a bout that should settle the McGregor-Poirier rivalry once and for all.

Excitement keeps building. The odds are nearly even. And the fans can hardly wait.

Insight from sportsbooks for McGregor vs. Poirier 3 UFC 264

At William Hill, McGregor has the advantage with 62% of the total bets. However,  Poirier has the edge with 53% of handle. One Nevada bettor staked $52,500 on Poirier -105 for a total potential payout of $102,500, which is the largest UFC 264 wager taken thus far at William Hill.

Nick Bogdanovich, Director of Trading for William Hill commented:

“Poirier and McGregor is going to be a monster handle. Sharps are on Poirier. We opened Conor as a small favorite, now Poirier is -130. McGregor was a huge favorite in his last fight against Poirier [in January]. So how much can you cut it? We opened him near pick’em after he was over three dollars (-300) the last time. The sharps are telling us that we didn’t adjust enough.

“There will be McGregor money this weekend for sure. I don’t think the masses have quit him completely. At one point, McGregor money was unstoppable. But since he has just one win over the past few years, it’s slowed down some. Poirier is no chump, Conor is going to have to have a serious camp and have his A-game to beat him.”

Reps from FanDuel said UFC bets tend to come in closer to the match, especially at retail sportsbooks.

 At FanDuel, 54% of the moneyline bets are on McGregor, but 55% of the handle is for Poirier

The Top 2 selections by handle in the Method of Victory market are:

  • Poirier by KO/TKO is 33% of the handle
  • McGregor by KO/TKO is 33% of the handle

Bet boosts and promos for UFC 264


  • Poirier to win in Rounds 1-5 boosted from (+125) to +160
  • McGregor to win in Rounds 1-5 boosted from (+137) to +175
  • McGregor to win by KO, TKO, or DSQ boosted from (+150) to +200
  • McGregor to win by TKO, KO, Stoppage in Round 1 boosted from (+375) to +475


  • Dustin Poirier or McGregor on the moneyline boosted to +150 (max bet $25)
  • McGregor, Thompson, and Tuivasa all to win boosted from (+484) to +565

UFC 264 fight card

The rest of the UFC 264 card is loaded. Former NFL defensive end Greg Hardy faces Tai Tuivasa in a heavyweight fight. Rising star Sean O’ Malley will compete in a bantamweight bout. The complete list of fights and the moneyline odds at DraftKings are as follows:

  • Dustin Poirier (-108) vs. Conor McGregor (-113)
  • Gilbert Burns (+130) vs. Stephen Thompson (-162)
  • Tai Tuivasa (-143) vs. Greg Hardy (+115)
  • Irene Aldana (-137) vs. Yana Kunitskaya (+110)
  • Sean O’Malley vs. TBD
  • Ryan Hall (+180) vs. Ilia Topuria (-230)
  • Carlos Condit (+150) vs. Max Griffin (-190)
  • Niko Price (+140) vs. Michel Pereira (-177)
  • Trevin Giles (-112) vs. Dricus Du Plessis (-112)
  • Jennifer Maia (-200) vs. Jessica Eye (+162)
  • Omari Akhmedov (+135) vs. Brad Tavares (-167)
  • Zhalgas Zhumagulov (-360) vs. Jerome Rivera (+265)
  • Hu Yaozong (+140) vs. Alen Amedovski (-177)

Daily fantasy players will also have some huge contests available for the fight. The DraftKings 264 Special has a $1 million prize pool and a first-place payout of $200,000 for an entry fee of $25. The $100k Haymaker offers a top prize of $10,000 with an entry fee of $3.

Where to Watch UFC 264 in Pennsylvania

UFC 264 will be held at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. It all starts with the early preliminaries at 6 p.m. on Saturday, July 10. Those at home can watch the action on ESPN/ESPN+ before the main card moves to ESPN Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m.

Sportsbooks at PA casinos are a great place to watch an anticipated UFC event like McGregor vs. Poirier.

At Rivers Casino in Pittsburgh, UFC 264 will be shown throughout the casino and the BetRivers Sportsbook. Fights start at 8 p.m. and the pricing is as follows for the sportsbook:

  • $25 for a bar seat
  • $40 for lounge chairs
  • $400 for a booth,
  • $40 for a 2-top table and chairs
  • $80 for a 4-top table and chairs

The BetRivers Sportsbook at Rivers Casino Philadelphia will be showing the action.

Lead photo by John Locher/AP.

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Nathan Frederick

Nathan Frederick is an award-winning writer with more than 1,000 published bylines and two decades of journalism experience. His work has won awards from the Pennsylvania Society of Professional Journalists, the Keystone Press Association, and the Associated Press Sports Editors. He has also authored three books, one of which debuted as an Amazon No. 1 New Release.

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