NFL Playoff Preview: Wild Card Weekend, Futures Markets in PA, Bucs Big Liability

Posted By Katie Kohler on January 7, 2021 - Last Updated on January 14, 2021

Welcome to Wild Card Weekend. In addition to six games on the slate, Pennsylvania online sportsbooks also have a wide variety of NFL futures markets for the postseason including:

  • Finalist for the Super Bowl
  • Winning division
  • Winning Conference

Wild Card weekend betting preview

Matt Cosgriff, Director of Trading, BetMGM Sportsbook commented:

“This year’s Wild Card round boasts an uncommon amount of large spreads, with all six games currently being over a field goal. Public money is on most of the favorites; BetMGM will need a few underdogs to win.”

Browns vs. Steelers

Read our full preview here. The Pittsburgh Steelers opened as four-point favorites but the spread moved to six since Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski (and some others) will miss the game due to positive COVID tests.

Colts vs. Bills

Nick Bogdanovich, Director of Trading for William Hill,  gave his thoughts for the Wild Card games. For this AFC battle he said:

“There will probably be sharp action on the Colts. Indy’s a very solid team and now you’re getting a touchdown in a playoff game. But the masses will be all over the Bills. I think this line will end up going down to 6.5 though. I’d also say the Bills will be the third choice for teaser legs this week, with the Bucs and Saints being by far the biggest teaser combo.”

Rams vs. Seahawks

The smallest spread of any of the Wild Card weekend games with the Seahawks as 3-point favorites.

Tampa Bay vs. Washington

The Buccaneers are one of two road favorites this week, and Tampa Bay (-9) is also laying the second-most points of any team this weekend against Washington.

“This will very likely be our biggest decision this week,” Bogdanovich said. “We’ll be drowned on Tampa Bay money for sure. We opened 7.5 up to 8, it’s just going to keep going up. I think this could end up reaching double digits. Anytime you get a 7 or 8 or 9-point favorite or so in the playoffs, you know you’re getting all the action on that side regardless.”

Ravens vs. Titans

Last year, the Titans pulled off a shocking upset of Baltimore in the Divisional Round. This showdown has the highest points total (54.5) of the Wild Card weekend.

“I don’t care what number is hung, I wouldn’t even play a Tennessee under with your money,” Bogdanovich said. “Baltimore is going to pound the ball and Tennessee is going to try and establish [Derrick] Henry. Tennessee has just been playing in so many high-scoring games this year, the public is going to pound that game over. I’d imagine the professionals will end up on the under, so I’m interested to see what gives.”

Saints vs. Bears

In New Orleans, the Saints are 9.5-point chalk over the Bears, making them the biggest favorite as of now for this weekend’s slate.

“If Kamara isn’t back for this game, this line is going down,” Bogdanovich said. “But the Saints have just looked awfully impressive all year long. Look at [last game]: They turned Carolina over five times. That defense is really good. Not to mention their offense; their offense is trustworthy too. If the Saints played the Packers on a neutral field, I’d take the Saints.”

NFL Postseason futures via BetMGM

Below are the postseason futures odds at BetMGM Sportsbook as of the afternoon of Jan. 7.

Super Bowl LV odds winner:

  • Kansas City Chiefs: +240
  • Green Bay Packers: +550
  • Buffalo Bills: +700
  • New Orleans Saints: +750
  • Baltimore Ravens: +1000
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +1100
  • Seattle Seahawks: +1400
  • Los Angeles Rams: +2500
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: +2500
  • Tennessee Titans: +2500
  • Cleveland Browns: +4000
  • Indianpolis Colts: +4000
  • Chicago Bears:  +8000
  • Washington: +10000

Other betting markets at BetMGM:

  • Who will reach the final
  • Exact outcome
  • Finalists-Divisions
  • Exact Outcome-Divisions

2020 Playoff Leaders odds

(Complete list of players at DraftKings Sportsbook.)

Favorites for most playoff passing yards:

  • Patrick Mahomes: +225
  • Josh Allen: +350
  • Tom Brady: +500

Most rushing yards:

  • Derrick Henry: +360
  • J.K. Dobbins: +650
  • Ronald Jones: +650

Most receiving yards:

  • Stefon Diggs: +350
  • Devante Adams: +500
  • Tyreek Hill: +600

Super Bowl MVP:

  • Patrick Mahomes: +325
  • Aaron Rodgers: +625
  • Josh Allen: +1000

Buccaneers biggest liability

The Kansas City Chiefs, reigning Super Bowl champs, are getting the most action at William Hill. They lead for both tickets (12%) and dollars wagered (25%) for Super Bowl futures.

Biggest Super Bowl liabilities at BetMGM:

  • Buccaneers (+1100)
  • Steelers (+2500)
  • Seahawks (+1400)

At William Hill, the Bucs and the Bills winning out would be bad for the book. “Buccaneers winning the Super Bowl would 100% be the worst-case scenario for us,” said Bogdanovich.

“We’re in pretty good shape with most of the teams, but the Bucs are a big loser. Chiefs and Packers are good, I’d sign up for either one of those. We don’t do very well with the Bills, we have a lot of money on Buffalo.”

Notable NFL playoff bets

At FanDuel for Wild Card weekend:

  • $100k on Tampa Bay Buccaneers moneyline (-400)

  • $88k on Tennessee Titans Alternative Spread +3.5 (-110)

Notable Super Bowl futures bets at William Hill:

A Washington D.C. bettor put down $40,000 on Buccaneers (12/1) for a total potential payout of $520,000. Not only is that the second-largest Super Bowl LV futures bet at William Hill, it’s also the biggest total potential payout of any remaining wager in this market.

A Nevada bettor laid $115,000 on Chiefs (+150) for a total potential payout of $287,500.

A Nevada bettor placed $2,000 on Washington (125/1) for a total potential payout of $252,000.

Notable Super Bowl LV futures wagers placed throughout the season include:

  • $10,000 on Colts at 45/1 ($460,000 total potential payout)
  • $22,000 on Saints at 11/1 ($264,000 total potential payout)
  • $6,000 on Bills at 35/1 ($216,000 total potential payout)

Wild Card weekend PA online sportsbook promos

DraftKings:

  • 100% Profit Boost for Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Opt-in and you will be issued a single-use Profit Boost to apply to one qualifying bet on the game. You must select the boost from your bet slip before placing your bet to apply the boosted price. Max $50 bet.

FanDuel:

  • New users can get a 25/1 odds boost on any team to win on Saturday or Sunday (max bet $5) after registering and making their first deposit. The offer replaces the new user offer for a risk-free bet of up to $1,000.
  • New users who miss the NFL deal can instead get a 25/1 odds boost for Ohio State or Alabama to win the college football playoff National Championship game Monday night. Must register and deposit for offer to appear.

Unibet Sportsbook:

  • Wild Card Weekend boosts: Get a 50% live profit boost on every NFL game.

Lead image credit: AP Photo/John Raoux

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Katie Kohler

Katie Kohler is a Philadelphia-area based award-winning journalist. She covers the Pennsylvania gambling industry with an emphasis on sports betting, online casino/poker and the lottery.

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